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SC Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Namimoto R.
Assist: Goto Y.
40' Event
Tao K.
45' Event
Shimakawa T.
Assist: Nakayama R.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between SC Sagamihara and Kamatamare Sanuki finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sagamihara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
SC Sagamihara
30%
Draws
8%
Kamatamare Sanuki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Kamatamare Sanuki haven't matched SC Sagamihara's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SC Sagamihara a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 20%
Kamatamare Sanuki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara Kamatamare Sanuki
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs SC Sagamihara
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 J3 League
Kamatamare Sanuki vs SC Sagamihara
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimakawa T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kamatamare Sanuki Compare

Top Goalscorer Namimoto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tao K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 85 / 100
Kamatamare Sanuki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara Kamatamare Sanuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sagamihara scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kamatamare Sanuki conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

SC Sagamihara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS Kamatamare Sanuki
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

Kamatamare Sanuki

(Away)
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4
Gifu
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)