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SC Salgueiros vs Castro Daire Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SC Salgueiros
30%
Draws
19%
Castro Daire
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Salgueiros lately — more wins on the board than Castro Daire.
  • Model gives SC Salgueiros a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Castro Daire
Matches Played 44 29
Wins 21 5
Draws 14 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.3 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Castro Daire
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs SC Salgueiros
1:2
Feb 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Castro Daire vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Salgueiros vs Castro Daire
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 86 / 100
Castro Daire 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Castro Daire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Salgueiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Salgueiros went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SC Salgueiros's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Castro Daire let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Castro Daire
0.63 Goals Scored 0.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 9

Castro Daire

(Away)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)