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SC Salgueiros vs Cinfaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pedro J.

AI Match Summary

SC Salgueiros in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SC Salgueiros
35%
Draws
31%
Cinfaes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cinfaes at 1.21 per game, SC Salgueiros at 1.08.
  • Win probability leans SC Salgueiros's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 18%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Cinfaes
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 14 14
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.08 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Cinfaes
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs SC Salgueiros
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Cinfaes
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs SC Salgueiros
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Cinfaes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cinfaes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 41 / 100
Cinfaes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Cinfaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Salgueiros went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SC Salgueiros scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Cinfaes conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Cinfaes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
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Cinfaes

(Away)
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
01 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
7 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Cinfaes 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)