Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Salgueiros vs FC Alpendorada

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fonseca H.
52'
Zuzarte G.
52'
Zuzarte G.

AI Match Summary

FC Alpendorada in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Alpendorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
SC Salgueiros
28%
Draws
50%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Alpendorada lately — more wins on the board than SC Salgueiros.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on FC Alpendorada taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 18%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs FC Alpendorada
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs SC Salgueiros
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs FC Alpendorada
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs SC Salgueiros
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs SC Salgueiros
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Alpendorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilo Souza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 23 / 100
FC Alpendorada 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros FC Alpendorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Salgueiros found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

FC Alpendorada let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

SC Salgueiros went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS FC Alpendorada
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
18 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
SC Salgueiros
12 Apr
SC Salgueiros
0 : 2
FC Alpendorada
04 Apr
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Salgueiros
22 Mar
SC Salgueiros
2 : 0
Florgrade
15 Mar
Leca
3 : 1
SC Salgueiros
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FC Alpendorada

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
SC Salgueiros
0 : 2
FC Alpendorada
04 Apr
FC Alpendorada
0 : 1
Beira Mar
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)