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SC Salgueiros vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Monteiro R.
57' Event
Monteiro D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between SC Salgueiros and Machico finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
SC Salgueiros
35%
Draws
27%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • SC Salgueiros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%
Machico Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Machico
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Machico
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Machico
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Machico
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs SC Salgueiros
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 41 / 100
Machico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Salgueiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Salgueiros has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SC Salgueiros's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Machico let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Machico
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
7 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
13 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)