Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Salgueiros vs Oliveira do Douro

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Pereira P.
90'
Joshua A.
90'
Joshua A.

AI Match Summary

SC Salgueiros in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SC Salgueiros
30%
Draws
19%
Oliveira do Douro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Salgueiros lately — more wins on the board than Oliveira do Douro.
  • Win probability leans SC Salgueiros's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Oliveira do Douro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Oliveira do Douro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Oliveira do Douro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 86 / 100
Oliveira do Douro 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Oliveira do Douro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Salgueiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oliveira do Douro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

SC Salgueiros has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SC Salgueiros found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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Oliveira do Douro

(Away)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)