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SC Sao Paulo vs Cruz Alta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cauan
48' Event
Rodrigues E.
82' Event
Pipo

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 game between SC Sao Paulo and Cruz Alta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Alta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
SC Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
31%
Cruz Alta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Sao Paulo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SC Sao Paulo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
Cruz Alta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Cruz Alta
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.31 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Cruz Alta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cauan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cruz Alta Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pipo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 58 / 100
Cruz Alta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Cruz Alta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sao Paulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sao Paulo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cruz Alta has conceded goals in 71% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: SC Sao Paulo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS Cruz Alta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sao Paulo

(Home)
07 Oct
Clube 1992
1 : 3
SC Sao Paulo
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
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Cruz Alta

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruz Alta
0 : 0
Futvida
30 Sept
Cruz Alta
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
Cruz Alta
0 : 3
Real SC
13 Sept
Cruz Alta
2 : 1
Clube 1992
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 5 4 1 0 20:1 13
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 6 1 0 5 7:11 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)