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SC Sao Paulo vs EC Novo Horizonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Sao Paulo host EC Novo Horizonte in the Gaucho 3. SC Sao Paulo go into this one as the clear favorite. EC Novo Horizonte have shipped 3.15 goals a game lately, while SC Sao Paulo have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.31. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.06 - 0.56) back SC Sao Paulo to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
SC Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
17%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • SC Sao Paulo have won more games recently than EC Novo Horizonte.
  • Win probability leans SC Sao Paulo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 32 13
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 0.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 85 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo EC Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sao Paulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Novo Horizonte has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

SC Sao Paulo found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

SC Sao Paulo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EC Novo Horizonte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS EC Novo Horizonte
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sao Paulo

(Home)
07 Oct
Clube 1992
1 : 3
SC Sao Paulo
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
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EC Novo Horizonte

(Away)
07 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 9
Real SC
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 5 4 1 0 20:1 13
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 6 1 0 5 7:11 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)