Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Sao Paulo vs Gremio Maringa

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1979
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Sao Paulo play Gremio Maringa in the Serie A 1979. It looks like a close match. Recently, SC Sao Paulo averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Gremio Maringa averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, SC Sao Paulo won 0, Gremio Maringa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 3, 1979 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for SC Sao Paulo and 1.54 for Gremio Maringa. This points to a SC Sao Paulo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
SC Sao Paulo
22%
Draws
30%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • SC Sao Paulo picked up more points recently compared to Gremio Maringa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 1.54 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 15%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.08 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 1979 Serie A Betano
SC Sao Paulo vs Gremio Maringa
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 46 / 100
Gremio Maringa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Gremio Maringa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SC Sao Paulo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Sao Paulo attacking → ← attacking Gremio Maringa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sao Paulo scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Gremio Maringa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC Sao Paulo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Maringa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 19
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.83
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colorado PR944110:612
2Londrina944110:712
3Anapolina950413:910
4Joinville942312:810
5EC Juventude934212:910
6Sergipe934210:910
7Novo Hamburgo92434:78
8Goiania92346:97
9Confianca92257:156
10Avai90549:145
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gremio Maringa963015:515
2Desportiva Ferroviaria953110:513
3Brasil de Pelotas92709:411
4Caldense950410:910
5SC Sao Paulo94239:910
6Criciuma94149:89
7SER Caxias do Sul933311:69
8Operario-PR92163:135
9AA Colatina91352:95
10Chapecoense-SC90366:163
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gama952214:912
2Mixto951314:1011
3Comercial MS842214:1010
4Várzea Grande EC942312:1110
5Atletico GO941417:149
6Itumbiara941411:119
7Itabuna933310:89
8Fluminense de Feira93335:69
9Brasilia931511:177
10Guara80262:142
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Campo Grande95229:612
2Villa Nova AC95229:612
3America MG851212:711
4Campinense95138:411
5Botafogo PB842215:910
6Treze PB941415:109
7Tuna Luso931512:137
8Paysandu PA922510:146
9Fast Clube92259:206
10Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)91267:174
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maranhao963018:615
2Uberaba970215:614
3Central SC943213:811
4Uberlandia942314:910
5Nautico942311:1010
6Moto Club93156:107
7River-PI92259:126
8Sampaio Correa92257:166
9Piaui90638:156
10Tiradentes91357:165
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA952214:812
2ASA951311:1011
3Itabaiana943210:611
4Leonico950412:810
5ABC942313:1010
6CRB93338:89
7Ferroviario92526:79
8Potiguar de Mossoró92345:107
9Fortaleza92257:126
10America RN92165:125
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Internacional963018:515
2America RJ961217:713
3Operario MS942311:1310
4Gremio941414:89
5Santa Cruz933312:89
6Figueirense92437:88
7Athletico-PR92438:98
8Coritiba92346:147
9Rio Branco ES915310:187
10Sport Recife91265:184
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cruzeiro953121:913
2Vila Nova FC944113:812
3Goias951310:511
4Atletico-MG92709:611
5Dom Bosco933312:139
6Ceara932418:198
7Vitoria924310:118
8Bahia93156:137
9Remo922510:156
10Nacional-AM (Manaus)91356:165