Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2023 game between SC Sao Paulo and Riograndense finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riograndense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SC Sao Paulo
20%
Draws
40%
Riograndense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riograndense come out ahead of SC Sao Paulo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Sao Paulo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Riograndense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs SC Sao Paulo
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs SC Sao Paulo
4:1
Oct 7, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 42 / 100
Riograndense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Riograndense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sao Paulo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Riograndense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SC Sao Paulo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS Riograndense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sao Paulo

(Home)
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
06 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Cruz Alta
30 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Apafut
Page 1 of 6

Riograndense

(Away)
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1
SC Rio Grande
19 Sept
Futvida
0 : 0
Riograndense
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
16 Nov
SC Rio Grande
2 : 1
Riograndense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Sao Borja 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 4:2 10
3 Santo Angelo 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
4 Elite CD RS 6 1 2 3 3:7 -1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro RS 6 5 1 0 16:1 16
2 Futvida 6 4 0 2 14:5 12
3 Real SC 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
4 Riopardense RS 6 1 0 5 5:19 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Igrejinha 6 3 2 1 13:4 11
3 Novo Horizonte 6 1 1 4 3:14 4
4 Sapucaiense 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riograndense 6 5 1 0 9:4 16
2 SC Sao Paulo 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 SC Rio Grande 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Farroupilha 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)