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SC Sao Paulo vs Sao Gabriel

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Nathan
80' Event
Gomes V.
82' Event
Colombia

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 game between SC Sao Paulo and Sao Gabriel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Gabriel
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Gabriel haven't matched SC Sao Paulo's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SC Sao Paulo taking it.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SC Sao Paulo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Gabriel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Sao Gabriel
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 8 1
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Gaucho 3
Sao Gabriel vs SC Sao Paulo
0:5
Sep 27, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Sao Gabriel
3:1
Jun 1, 2022 Gaucho 2
Sao Gabriel vs SC Sao Paulo
3:0
Apr 24, 2022 Gaucho 2
SC Sao Paulo vs Sao Gabriel
2:1
Sep 27, 2021 Gaucho 2
SC Sao Paulo vs Sao Gabriel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nathan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sao Gabriel Compare

Top Goalscorer Thauam
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 85 / 100
Sao Gabriel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Sao Gabriel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sao Gabriel registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

SC Sao Paulo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Sao Gabriel let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS Sao Gabriel
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Guarani880025:324
2Apafut842218:1016
3Clube 199281438:149
4Nova Prata822410:128
5EC Novo Horizonte80261:230
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Sao Paulo651011:116
2SC Rio Grande63036:69
3Riograndense622211:38
4Sao Gabriel60152:201