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SC St.Tonis vs Kray Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Shirahata K.
4' Event
Redier O.
Own Goal
11' Event
Knops M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 game between SC St.Tonis and Kray finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC St.Tonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
SC St.Tonis
15%
Draws
26%
Kray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC St.Tonis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • SC St.Tonis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SC St.Tonis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SC St.Tonis Clean Sheet 18%
Kray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC St.Tonis Kray
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Kray
6:2
Nov 6, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Kray vs SC St.Tonis
2:1
Apr 3, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Kray
3:0
Dec 5, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
Kray vs SC St.Tonis
2:3
Mar 4, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Kray
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC St.Tonis Compare

Top Goalscorer Dohmen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knops M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Kray Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirahata K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kazelis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC St.Tonis 85 / 100
Kray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC St.Tonis Kray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC St.Tonis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC St.Tonis scored in 82% of their last 39 outings.

Kray has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

SC St.Tonis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC St.Tonis VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC St.Tonis

(Home)
02 Oct
Dingden
1 : 0
SC St.Tonis
27 Sept
SC St.Tonis
4 : 0
Buderich
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
SC St.Tonis
2 : 1
Wuppertaler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
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Kray

(Away)
14 Jul
Kray
2 : 2
Westfalia Herne
07 Feb
Kray
0 : 4
Schonnebeck
14 Nov
Kray
1 : 2
Uerdingen
15 Jul
Kray
1 : 0
VFB Bottrop
04 Jun
Homberg
3 : 1
Kray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)