Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Vianense vs Dumiense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Abreu M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between SC Vianense and Dumiense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Vianense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
SC Vianense
30%
Draws
29%
Dumiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Vianense come out ahead of Dumiense on wins alone.
  • SC Vianense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SC Vianense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SC Vianense Clean Sheet 68%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vianense Dumiense
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.95 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vianense vs Dumiense
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs SC Vianense
0:4
Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vianense vs Dumiense
0:0
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs SC Vianense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vianense Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Dumiense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vianense 95 / 100
Dumiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vianense Dumiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vianense scored in 82% of their last 38 games.

Dumiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SC Vianense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vianense VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vianense

(Home)
30 Aug
SC Vianense
8 : 0
Minas de Argozelo
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
09 Aug
AD Fafe
0 : 0
SC Vianense
29 Jul
AFS
3 : 0
SC Vianense
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Dumiense

(Away)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)