Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025 Campo do Calvario, Vila Real

SC Vila Real

2 - 0

Atletico Arcos

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Neto

45'

Sub

Correia J. In: Gomes H.

Out: Correia J.

45'

Sub

Morais M. In: Saavedra G.

Out: Morais M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with SC Vila Real advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

SC Vila Real

30%

Draws

23%

Atletico Arcos

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and SC Vila Real come out ahead of Atletico Arcos on wins alone.
47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
SC Vila Real have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor SC Vila Real, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
SC Vila Real have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 15%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Vila Real	Atletico Arcos
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	11	7
Draws	13	6
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	1.06	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Vila Real vs Atletico Arcos

1:1

Oct 20, 2024 Taça de Portugal

SC Vila Real vs Atletico Arcos

2:0

Oct 6, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Atletico Arcos vs SC Vila Real

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pedro Gomes

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Atletico Arcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 41 / 100

Atletico Arcos 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Vila Real Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vila Real Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Vila Real scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Arcos's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS Atletico Arcos

0.38 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 2

25% Over 1.5 100%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)

18 Apr

Leca

3 : 0

SC Vila Real

12 Apr

SC Vila Real

1 : 1

Vila Mea

04 Apr

SC Vila Real

2 : 2

Rebordosa

22 Mar

Aparecida

3 : 1

SC Vila Real

15 Mar

SC Vila Real

0 : 3

GD Resende

Page 1 of 8

Atletico Arcos

(Away)

30 Aug

Merelinense

2 : 0

Atletico Arcos

13 Apr

Paredes

1 : 1

Atletico Arcos

05 Apr

Atletico Arcos

1 : 3

AD Limianos

29 Mar

Dumiense

3 : 2

Atletico Arcos

16 Mar

Brito

3 : 1

Atletico Arcos

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Varzim -

TBD -

Ferreiras -

TBD -

Boavista -

Leca 2

AD Marco 09 3

TBD -

O Elvas CAD -

Academica 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

TBD -

Torreense -

GD Peniche -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha -

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense -

TBD -

Caldas SC 1

Uniao Da Serra 0

Tirsense -

TBD -

Vieira 2

Pedras Salgadas 0

Brito 2

Maia Lidador 1

Abrantes Benfica 0

Operario 2

Moura AC 1

Portel 0

TBD -

Castrense -

Covilha -

TBD -

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1

SC Pombal 3

Moncarapachense 3

Grandolense 0

Louletano 3

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Os Marialvas -

TBD -

Tondela -

Rebordosa 3

Juventude Gaula 0

TBD -

GD Braganca -

CD Lajense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 2

Cardielense 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima -

TBD -

Figueirense 0

Sanjoanense 5

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem -

TBD -

Maritimo -

TBD -

Benfica -

Vila Cortez 2

Anadia 4

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 5

Estarreja 4

TBD -

Leixoes -

Alcains -

TBD -

C.F. Benfica 4

Industria 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 2

Ac. Fundao 0

TBD -

Os Sandinenses -

TBD -

AFS -

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Arronches Benfica 3

SC Vila Real 1

GD Joane 0

Academica Coimbra SF -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos -

Viana Alentejo 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Sacavenense 0

TBD -

Desportivo Moncao -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense -

TBD -

FC Madalena 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 2

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC -

TBD -

AD Fafe 1

Amarante FC 4

Lajense -

TBD -

Fabril do Barreiro -

Lagoa -

TBD -

Uniao de Coimbra 3

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Alianca de Gandra 2

SC Salgueiros 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valpacos 3

AD Limianos 5

TBD -

Chaves -

Lusitania FC 2

Uniao Lamas 1

TBD -

Vizela -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Alverca -

Pero Pinheiro -

TBD -

Feirense -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades 0

Mortagua FC 3

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital -

TBD -

Machico 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 0

Montijo -

TBD -

Mafra -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Vieirense 1

Sertanense 4

Cinfaes 3

GD Resende 0

TBD -

FC Barreirense -

Tocha -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Sao Roque 1

SC Lusitania 2

Velense 1

Regua 2

UD Ovarense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Praia Milfontes 0

Serpa 5

Paredes -

TBD -

Dumiense 2

Vilaverdense FC 3

1/64-finals

Varzim 3

Ferreiras 0

TBD -

Boavista -

AD Marco 09 0

O Elvas CAD 1

Academica 0

Torreense 1

GD Peniche 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 0

Leiria 2

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense 0

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Vieira 0

Brito 1

Operario 0

Moura AC 4

Castrense 2

Covilha 4

SC Pombal 0

Moncarapachense 2

Louletano 1

Os Marialvas 2

Tondela 1

Rebordosa 2

GD Braganca 1

CD Lajense 0

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 0

Sanjoanense 1

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem 2

Maritimo 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Anadia 3

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 0

Leixoes 1

Alcains 4

C.F. Benfica 1

1º Dezembro 2

Oliveirense 1

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC 2

Academico Viseu 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 1

Os Sandinenses 2

TBD -

AFS -

Arronches Benfica 0

SC Vila Real 1

Academica Coimbra SF 1

Atletico Arcos 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Trofense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 1

Portimonense 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC 0

Amarante FC 2

Lajense 2

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Lagoa 2

Uniao de Coimbra 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar 1

Alianca de Gandra 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora 1

FC Felgueiras 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

AD Limianos 0

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 4

Vizela 3

Coimbroes 2

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 1

Feirense 0

Atletico CP 3

Mortagua FC 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital 2

Machico 0

Montijo 1

Mafra 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Sertanense 0

Cinfaes 3

FC Barreirense 2

Tocha 1

Penafiel 4

SC Lusitania 2

Regua 1

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Serpa 0

Paredes 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

1/32-finals

Varzim 1

Boavista 0

O Elvas CAD 3

Torreense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Leiria 2

Nacional 1

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Brito 1

Moura AC 0

Covilha 3

Moncarapachense 2

Os Marialvas 1

Rebordosa 2

Maria de Fonte 0

Arouca 5

Sanjoanense 2

SC Farense 4

Pevidem 0

Benfica 2

Anadia 1

Estrela da Amadora 3

Leixoes 2

Alcains 1

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Estoril 0

Os Sandinenses 0

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 2

Atletico Arcos 0

CF Os Belenenses 0

Gil Vicente 2

Santarem 1

Moreirense 2

Sintrense 0

FC Porto 3

Portimonense 1

Sporting CP 2

Amarante FC 6

Lajense 1

Lagoa 0

Famalicao 2

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Amora 0

Casa Pia 5

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 0

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 0

Atletico CP 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Mafra 0

FC Alpendorada 1

Cinfaes 2

Penafiel 2

SC Lusitania 3

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Paredes 1

1/16-finals

Varzim 1

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Leiria 0

Tirsense 1

Brito 0

Covilha 2

Rebordosa 3

Arouca 1

SC Farense 2

Benfica 7

Estrela da Amadora 0

Leixoes 0

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 3

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 0

Gil Vicente 2

Moreirense 2

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 6

Amarante FC 0

Famalicao 0

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 3

Chaves 0

Alverca 2

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 4

Cinfaes 2

SC Lusitania 0

Sao Joao de Ver 2

1/8-finals

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Tirsense 1

Rebordosa 0

SC Farense 1

Benfica 3

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Gil Vicente 1

Moreirense 0

Sporting CP 2

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Quarter-finals

O Elvas CAD 0

Tirsense 2

Benfica 1

Braga 0

Gil Vicente 0

Sporting CP 1

Rio Ave 2

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Semi-finals

Tirsense 0

Benfica 9

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 1

Final

Benfica 1

Sporting CP 3

SC Vila Real vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal

SC Vila Real

Atletico Arcos

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

SC Vila Real Compare

Atletico Arcos Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

Atletico Arcos

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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