Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025

SC Vila Real

Sun, Sep 8, 2024

1 - 0

04:00 PM

GD Joane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Vila Real in this Taça de Portugal 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

SC Vila Real

30%

Draws

47%

GD Joane

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Joane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to SC Vila Real lately — more wins on the board than GD Joane.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
SC Vila Real have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor SC Vila Real, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and SC Vila Real have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 18%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 25%

GD Joane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Vila Real	GD Joane
Matches Played	39	29
Wins	11	7
Draws	13	7
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	0.72	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Vila Real vs GD Joane

2:0

Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal

SC Vila Real vs GD Joane

1:0

Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

GD Joane vs SC Vila Real

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 33 / 100

GD Joane 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Vila Real GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Joane Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

SC Vila Real found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (39 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: GD Joane has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

25% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)

18 Apr

Leca

3 : 0

SC Vila Real

12 Apr

SC Vila Real

1 : 1

Vila Mea

04 Apr

SC Vila Real

2 : 2

Rebordosa

22 Mar

Aparecida

3 : 1

SC Vila Real

15 Mar

SC Vila Real

0 : 3

GD Resende

Page 1 of 8

GD Joane

(Away)

13 Apr

Brito

2 : 1

GD Joane

06 Apr

GD Joane

0 : 3

GD Braganca

29 Mar

Vitoria Guimaraes B

3 : 2

GD Joane

16 Mar

GD Joane

2 : 1

Rebordosa

08 Mar

Os Sandinenses

0 : 0

GD Joane

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Varzim -

TBD -

Ferreiras -

TBD -

Boavista -

Leca 2

AD Marco 09 3

TBD -

O Elvas CAD -

Academica 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

TBD -

Torreense -

GD Peniche -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha -

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense -

TBD -

Caldas SC 1

Uniao Da Serra 0

Tirsense -

TBD -

Vieira 2

Pedras Salgadas 0

Brito 2

Maia Lidador 1

Abrantes Benfica 0

Operario 2

Moura AC 1

Portel 0

TBD -

Castrense -

Covilha -

TBD -

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1

SC Pombal 3

Moncarapachense 3

Grandolense 0

Louletano 3

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Os Marialvas -

TBD -

Tondela -

Rebordosa 3

Juventude Gaula 0

TBD -

GD Braganca -

CD Lajense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 2

Cardielense 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima -

TBD -

Figueirense 0

Sanjoanense 5

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem -

TBD -

Maritimo -

TBD -

Benfica -

Vila Cortez 2

Anadia 4

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 5

Estarreja 4

TBD -

Leixoes -

Alcains -

TBD -

C.F. Benfica 4

Industria 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 2

Ac. Fundao 0

TBD -

Os Sandinenses -

TBD -

AFS -

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Arronches Benfica 3

SC Vila Real 1

GD Joane 0

Academica Coimbra SF -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos -

Viana Alentejo 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Sacavenense 0

TBD -

Desportivo Moncao -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense -

TBD -

FC Madalena 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 2

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC -

TBD -

AD Fafe 1

Amarante FC 4

Lajense -

TBD -

Fabril do Barreiro -

Lagoa -

TBD -

Uniao de Coimbra 3

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Alianca de Gandra 2

SC Salgueiros 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valpacos 3

AD Limianos 5

TBD -

Chaves -

Lusitania FC 2

Uniao Lamas 1

TBD -

Vizela -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Alverca -

Pero Pinheiro -

TBD -

Feirense -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades 0

Mortagua FC 3

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital -

TBD -

Machico 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 0

Montijo -

TBD -

Mafra -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Vieirense 1

Sertanense 4

Cinfaes 3

GD Resende 0

TBD -

FC Barreirense -

Tocha -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Sao Roque 1

SC Lusitania 2

Velense 1

Regua 2

UD Ovarense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Praia Milfontes 0

Serpa 5

Paredes -

TBD -

Dumiense 2

Vilaverdense FC 3

1/64-finals

Varzim 3

Ferreiras 0

TBD -

Boavista -

AD Marco 09 0

O Elvas CAD 1

Academica 0

Torreense 1

GD Peniche 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 0

Leiria 2

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense 0

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Vieira 0

Brito 1

Operario 0

Moura AC 4

Castrense 2

Covilha 4

SC Pombal 0

Moncarapachense 2

Louletano 1

Os Marialvas 2

Tondela 1

Rebordosa 2

GD Braganca 1

CD Lajense 0

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 0

Sanjoanense 1

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem 2

Maritimo 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Anadia 3

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 0

Leixoes 1

Alcains 4

C.F. Benfica 1

1º Dezembro 2

Oliveirense 1

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC 2

Academico Viseu 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 1

Os Sandinenses 2

TBD -

AFS -

Arronches Benfica 0

SC Vila Real 1

Academica Coimbra SF 1

Atletico Arcos 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Trofense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 1

Portimonense 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC 0

Amarante FC 2

Lajense 2

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Lagoa 2

Uniao de Coimbra 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar 1

Alianca de Gandra 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora 1

FC Felgueiras 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

AD Limianos 0

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 4

Vizela 3

Coimbroes 2

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 1

Feirense 0

Atletico CP 3

Mortagua FC 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital 2

Machico 0

Montijo 1

Mafra 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Sertanense 0

Cinfaes 3

FC Barreirense 2

Tocha 1

Penafiel 4

SC Lusitania 2

Regua 1

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Serpa 0

Paredes 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

1/32-finals

Varzim 1

Boavista 0

O Elvas CAD 3

Torreense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Leiria 2

Nacional 1

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Brito 1

Moura AC 0

Covilha 3

Moncarapachense 2

Os Marialvas 1

Rebordosa 2

Maria de Fonte 0

Arouca 5

Sanjoanense 2

SC Farense 4

Pevidem 0

Benfica 2

Anadia 1

Estrela da Amadora 3

Leixoes 2

Alcains 1

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Estoril 0

Os Sandinenses 0

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 2

Atletico Arcos 0

CF Os Belenenses 0

Gil Vicente 2

Santarem 1

Moreirense 2

Sintrense 0

FC Porto 3

Portimonense 1

Sporting CP 2

Amarante FC 6

Lajense 1

Lagoa 0

Famalicao 2

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Amora 0

Casa Pia 5

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 0

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 0

Atletico CP 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Mafra 0

FC Alpendorada 1

Cinfaes 2

Penafiel 2

SC Lusitania 3

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Paredes 1

1/16-finals

Varzim 1

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Leiria 0

Tirsense 1

Brito 0

Covilha 2

Rebordosa 3

Arouca 1

SC Farense 2

Benfica 7

Estrela da Amadora 0

Leixoes 0

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 3

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 0

Gil Vicente 2

Moreirense 2

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 6

Amarante FC 0

Famalicao 0

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 3

Chaves 0

Alverca 2

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 4

Cinfaes 2

SC Lusitania 0

Sao Joao de Ver 2

1/8-finals

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Tirsense 1

Rebordosa 0

SC Farense 1

Benfica 3

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Gil Vicente 1

Moreirense 0

Sporting CP 2

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Quarter-finals

O Elvas CAD 0

Tirsense 2

Benfica 1

Braga 0

Gil Vicente 0

Sporting CP 1

Rio Ave 2

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Semi-finals

Tirsense 0

Benfica 9

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 1

Final

Benfica 1

Sporting CP 3

SC Vila Real vs GD Joane

Portugal

SC Vila Real

GD Joane

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

GD Joane

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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