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SC Vila Real vs GD Joane

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Bonkat P.
90' Event
Manga M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between SC Vila Real and GD Joane finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Vila Real
30%
Draws
47%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Joane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vila Real carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SC Vila Real have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 25%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real GD Joane
Matches Played 42 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 14 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.05 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs GD Joane
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal
SC Vila Real vs GD Joane
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs SC Vila Real
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonkat P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

GD Joane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 33 / 100
GD Joane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Joane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GD Joane conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SC Vila Real scored in 64% of their last 42 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: GD Joane has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)