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SC Vila Real vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Vila Real in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
SC Vila Real
28%
Draws
50%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Marta Penaguiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Vila Real lately — more wins on the board than Santa Marta Penaguiao.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Santa Marta Penaguiao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 25%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs SC Vila Real
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 25 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Santa Marta Penaguiao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vila Real found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Santa Marta Penaguiao let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

SC Vila Real went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276