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Scafatese vs Olbia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sicurella G.
22' Event
Maggio D.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Moretti D.

AI Match Summary

Scafatese in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Scafatese
20%
Draws
33%
Olbia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Olbia haven't matched Scafatese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Scafatese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 68%
Olbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scafatese Olbia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.19 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Scafatese vs Olbia
4:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Scafatese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sicurella G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maggio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Olbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scafatese 68 / 100
Olbia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scafatese Olbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scafatese's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Olbia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Scafatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scafatese VS Olbia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scafatese

(Home)
15 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2
Scafatese
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4
Scafatese
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
Page 1 of 7

Olbia

(Away)
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)