Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scandicci vs Siena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Guidelli F.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Andolfi T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Scandicci
35%
Draws
32%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Siena have won more games recently than Scandicci.
  • Model gives Scandicci a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 11%
Siena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scandicci Siena
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.39 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Siena
1:1
Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Siena vs Scandicci
2:0
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Scandicci
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Siena
1:1
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Scandicci
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scandicci Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer Andolfi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scandicci 35 / 100
Siena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scandicci Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scandicci found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Siena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scandicci went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scandicci VS Siena
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Scandicci

(Home)
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 6

Siena

(Away)
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Siena
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Siena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Prato 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Flaminia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Follonica Gavorrano 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lucchese 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
6 Tau 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
7 Seravezza Pozzi 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
8 Siena 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
9 Montevarchi 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
10 Scandicci 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
11 Terranuova Traiana 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 Sasso Marconi 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
13 Mezzolara 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 SCD Progresso 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
15 Ternana 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Grassina 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Rondinella 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
18 Ghiviborgo 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)