Sport Picks
Scarborough Athletic vs Southport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
16'
16'
Fadera M.
34'
34'
Fadera M.
37'
37'
Hull J.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Scarborough Athletic and Southport finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scarborough Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scarborough Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Southport carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Scarborough Athletic a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scarborough Athletic | Southport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Southport
5:1
Jan 3, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Southport
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 National League North
Southport vs Scarborough Athletic
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Southport
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scarborough Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Fadera M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Allan R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scarborough Athletic 40 / 100
Southport 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scarborough Athletic Southport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scarborough Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Southport conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Scarborough Athletic found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scarborough Athletic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scarborough Athletic VS Southport
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Scarborough Athletic
(Home) 10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
Southport
(Away) 10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0 Southport
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0 Southport
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 22 | Telford | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
