Sport Picks
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League North Mounting Systems Stadium, Bridlington 
Match Events
16'
16'
Allan R.
19'
19'
Bennett R.
Penalty Missed
25'
25'
Fadera M.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Scarborough Athletic and Spennymoor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scarborough Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spennymoor come out ahead of Scarborough Athletic on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Scarborough Athletic taking it.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scarborough Athletic | Spennymoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
3:0
Apr 6, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Jan 1, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scarborough Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Allan R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fadera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Spennymoor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scarborough Athletic 42 / 100
Spennymoor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scarborough Athletic Spennymoor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Scarborough Athletic's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Spennymoor let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scarborough Athletic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Scarborough Athletic VS Spennymoor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Scarborough Athletic
(Home) 26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
08 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 3
Spennymoor
(Away) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1 Spennymoor
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
