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SCD Durango vs Pasaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SCD Durango host Pasaia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pasaia have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while SCD Durango have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.4. Head-to-head, SCD Durango have won 2 to Pasaia's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back SCD Durango to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SCD Durango
35%
Draws
41%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 20%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Pasaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
SCD Durango vs Pasaia
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Pasaia
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs SCD Durango
0:2
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Pasaia
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs SCD Durango
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 36 / 100
Pasaia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SCD Durango scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pasaia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

SCD Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS Pasaia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
10 Oct
SCD Durango
1 : 1
Derio
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 6

Pasaia

(Away)
11 Oct
UD Aretxabaleta
4 : 2
Pasaia
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)