Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SCD Durango vs Santutxu FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between SCD Durango and Santutxu FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SCD Durango
30%
Draws
33%
Santutxu FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SCD Durango a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Santutxu FC
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 16 5
Draws 11 13
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Santutxu FC
1:0
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs SCD Durango
1:1
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs SCD Durango
1:1
Oct 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Santutxu FC
0:0
May 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Santutxu FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 50 / 100
Santutxu FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Santutxu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santutxu FC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: SCD Durango scored in 73% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

SCD Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
Page 1 of 9

Santutxu FC

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 3
Leioa
13 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 3
Santutxu FC
09 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
02 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)