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SCD Durango vs UD Aretxabaleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between SCD Durango and UD Aretxabaleta finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- SCD Durango haven't matched UD Aretxabaleta's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on SCD Durango taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 17%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCD Durango | UD Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs UD Aretxabaleta
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs UD Aretxabaleta
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs SCD Durango
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs UD Aretxabaleta
3:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs SCD Durango
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SCD Durango 36 / 100
UD Aretxabaleta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SCD Durango UD Aretxabaleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SCD Durango scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
UD Aretxabaleta let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
SCD Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SCD Durango VS UD Aretxabaleta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SCD Durango
(Home) 03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2 SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2 SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0 UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1 SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0 UD Aretxabaleta
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1 Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1 Santurtzi
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
UD Aretxabaleta
(Away) 03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2 Derio
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0 UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1 UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0 UD Aretxabaleta
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1 UD Aretxabaleta
03 May
Santurtzi
2 : 1 UD Aretxabaleta
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | SCD Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)
