Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Mezzadri Majani P.
83'
83'
Ferraresi S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Correggese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Correggese at 1.1 per game, SCD Progresso at 1.07.
- Model gives Correggese a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 15%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCD Progresso | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Correggese
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs SCD Progresso
0:2
Jan 29, 2022 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Correggese
1:1
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie D
SCD Progresso vs Correggese
1:2
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs SCD Progresso
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Mezzadri Majani P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Correggese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferraresi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SCD Progresso 27 / 100
Correggese 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SCD Progresso Correggese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Correggese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SCD Progresso scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Correggese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
SCD Progresso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SCD Progresso VS Correggese
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SCD Progresso
(Home) 20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
28 Mar
SCD Progresso
1 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 3
Correggese
(Away) 20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1 Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1 Sant'Angelo
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0 Correggese
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
29 Mar
Tuttocuoio
0 : 6 Correggese
01 Mar
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Correggese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
