Sport Picks
SCD Progresso vs Pro Palazzolo
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
56'
56'
Bonetti M.
80'
80'
Palma M.
90'
90'
Minessi A.
AI Match Summary
Pro Palazzolo in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Palazzolo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SCD Progresso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pro Palazzolo lately — more wins on the board than SCD Progresso.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCD Progresso | Pro Palazzolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Pro Palazzolo
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs SCD Progresso
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonetti M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Pro Palazzolo Compare
Top Goalscorer Minessi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palazzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SCD Progresso 42 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SCD Progresso Pro Palazzolo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SCD Progresso found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Pro Palazzolo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Pro Palazzolo conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
SCD Progresso VS Pro Palazzolo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SCD Progresso
(Home) 20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
28 Mar
SCD Progresso
1 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 3
Pro Palazzolo
(Away) 20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1 Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
