Sport Picks
SCD Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- SCD Progresso have won more games recently than Rovato Vertovese.
- Model gives Rovato Vertovese a 35% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 14%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCD Progresso | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Rovato Vertovese vs SCD Progresso
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SCD Progresso 19 / 100
Rovato Vertovese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SCD Progresso Rovato Vertovese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rovato Vertovese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rovato Vertovese let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: SCD Progresso scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: SCD Progresso remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SCD Progresso VS Rovato Vertovese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SCD Progresso
(Home) 27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
28 Mar
SCD Progresso
1 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 3
Rovato Vertovese
(Away) 27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2 AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4 Chievo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
