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Stadium Background

SCD Progresso vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lepri L.
67' Event
Rinaldini D.
83' Event
Falteri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between SCD Progresso and Seravezza Pozzi finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seravezza Pozzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SCD Progresso
15%
Draws
46%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Progresso have managed 1.16 goals a game lately — Seravezza Pozzi are scoring more at 1.32.
  • Seravezza Pozzi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 18%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Progresso Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.16 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group E
SCD Progresso vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:3
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs SCD Progresso
3:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:1
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:0
Jan 20, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs SCD Progresso
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepri L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rinaldini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Progresso 10 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Progresso Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Progresso's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

SCD Progresso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SCD Progresso VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Progresso

(Home)
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 7

Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Prato 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Seravezza Pozzi 4 2 1 1 10:3 7
4 Terranuova Traiana 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
5 Siena 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 Scandicci 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 Lucchese 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
8 San Donato Tavarnelle 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
9 Flaminia 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
10 Tau 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
11 Mezzolara 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
12 Ternana 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Montevarchi 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Sasso Marconi 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
15 SCD Progresso 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
16 Rondinella 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
17 Grassina 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
18 Ghiviborgo 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)