Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schaffhausen vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Saliji R.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Lenjani E.
69' Event
Rueger L.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League game between Schaffhausen and Lugano II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schaffhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Schaffhausen
15%
Draws
39%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Schaffhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lugano II haven't matched Schaffhausen's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Schaffhausen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 13%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaffhausen Lugano II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
2:1
May 16, 2026 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Schaffhausen
0:0
Apr 21, 2012 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
3:0
Sep 25, 2011 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Schaffhausen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lenjani E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rueger L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaffhausen 31 / 100
Lugano II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaffhausen Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schaffhausen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lugano II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Schaffhausen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Schaffhausen VS Lugano II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schaffhausen

(Home)
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
12 Sept
Bruhl SG
1 : 1
Schaffhausen
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3
Young Fellows Juventus
30 Aug
Zurich II
3 : 1
Schaffhausen
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
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Lugano II

(Away)
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 9 7 1 1 21:9 22
2 Schaffhausen 9 6 1 2 15:10 19
3 Cham 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
4 Grand-Saconnex 9 6 0 3 19:13 18
5 Bulle 9 5 2 2 18:12 17
6 Paradiso 9 5 1 3 19:9 16
7 Young Fellows Juventus 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
8 Amical Saint-Prex 9 4 1 4 13:20 13
9 Basel II 9 4 0 5 16:17 12
10 Bruhl SG 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
11 Young Boys II 9 3 2 4 17:21 11
12 Zurich II 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
13 Breitenrain 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 FC Kreuzlingen 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
15 Lugano II 9 3 0 6 15:21 9
16 Bavois 9 2 2 5 10:11 8
17 Luzern II 9 2 1 6 13:16 7
18 Bellinzona 8 1 1 6 5:16 4
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)