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Schaffhausen vs Luzern II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Berger N.
63' Event
Van den Heuvel L.
67' Event
Pejic N.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Schaffhausen and Luzern II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schaffhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Schaffhausen
20%
Draws
29%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Schaffhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Schaffhausen come out ahead of Luzern II on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 20%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaffhausen Luzern II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.86 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Luzern II
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Schaffhausen
3:2
Mar 25, 2012 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Schaffhausen vs Luzern II
3:0
Aug 28, 2011 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Luzern II vs Schaffhausen
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Berger N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pejic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Van den Heuvel L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaffhausen 36 / 100
Luzern II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaffhausen Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Schaffhausen scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Luzern II conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Schaffhausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schaffhausen VS Luzern II
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Schaffhausen

(Home)
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
12 Sept
Bruhl SG
1 : 1
Schaffhausen
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3
Young Fellows Juventus
30 Aug
Zurich II
3 : 1
Schaffhausen
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6

Luzern II

(Away)
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
30 Aug
Young Boys II
2 : 2
Luzern II
22 Aug
Luzern II
2 : 3
Bulle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)