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Schaffhausen vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Gloor F. In: Hanke M.
Out: Gloor F.
46'
Odutayo C.
48' Event
Chiappetta C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Schaffhausen
15%
Draws
36%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Schaffhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Schaffhausen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Schaffhausen taking it.
  • Schaffhausen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Thun, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thun have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 12%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaffhausen Thun
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.24 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Swiss Cup
Schaffhausen vs Thun
2:3
Apr 4, 2025 Challenge League
Thun vs Schaffhausen
3:0
Jan 31, 2025 Challenge League
Schaffhausen vs Thun
2:3
Oct 27, 2024 Challenge League
Thun vs Schaffhausen
3:1
Aug 30, 2024 Challenge League
Schaffhausen vs Thun
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiappetta C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Volkart D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Thun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaffhausen 83 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaffhausen Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schaffhausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Schaffhausen scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Thun let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Schaffhausen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Schaffhausen VS Thun
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Schaffhausen

(Home)
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
10 Oct
Luzern II
0 : 8
Schaffhausen
03 Oct
Schaffhausen
6 : 3
Young Boys II
26 Sept
Bulle
0 : 1
Schaffhausen
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
03 Oct
Thun
2 : 0
Kriens
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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