Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schalke vs Elversberg

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Schalke host Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Schalke at 1.77 goals for, 1.33 against; Elversberg at 2.27 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Schalke have won 3 to Elversberg's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.00 - 2.19) back Schalke to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Schalke
20%
Draws
52%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg have won more games recently than Schalke.
  • Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Schalke Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schalke Elversberg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Schalke
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Elversberg
1:0
May 18, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Elversberg
1:2
Dec 20, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Schalke
1:4
Apr 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Schalke
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schalke 10 / 100
Elversberg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schalke Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Schalke found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Schalke went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schalke VS Elversberg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schalke

(Home)
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Bayern Munich
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
24 Aug
Hallescher
2 : 5
Schalke
16 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3
Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6

Elversberg

(Away)
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Elversberg 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
7 Schalke 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
8 Bayer Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
9 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
10 VfB Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 5:6 3
11 Werder Bremen 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
12 1. FC Koln 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
13 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
15 Union Berlin 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
16 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
17 B. Monchengladbach 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
18 Hamburger 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)