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Schalke vs RB Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Nusa A.
(Penalty)
45'
Romulo Cardoso
51'
Becker T.

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Schalke
15%
Draws
76%
RB Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RB Leipzig lately — more wins on the board than Schalke.
  • Model gives RB Leipzig a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RB Leipzig have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Schalke Clean Sheet 12%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schalke RB Leipzig
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 20
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.65 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Bundesliga
Schalke vs RB Leipzig
0:2
May 27, 2023 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Schalke
4:2
Jan 24, 2023 Bundesliga
Schalke vs RB Leipzig
1:6
Feb 6, 2021 Bundesliga
Schalke vs RB Leipzig
0:3
Oct 3, 2020 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Schalke
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schalke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

RB Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo Cardoso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schalke 10 / 100
RB Leipzig 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schalke RB Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Schalke found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

RB Leipzig let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Schalke went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schalke VS RB Leipzig
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schalke

(Home)
31 Oct
Schalke
0 : 2
RB Leipzig
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Schalke
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1
Mainz
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
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RB Leipzig

(Away)
31 Oct
Schalke
0 : 2
RB Leipzig
27 Oct
RW Essen
1 : 2
RB Leipzig
24 Oct
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Elversberg
21 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1
RB Leipzig
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)