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Scherpenheuvel vs UNDEBA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Thu, Oct 17, 2024
VS
11:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scherpenheuvel host UNDEBA in the Promé Divishon. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. UNDEBA have shipped 2.27 goals a game lately, while Scherpenheuvel have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Scherpenheuvel have won 3 to UNDEBA's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.50) back Scherpenheuvel to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Scherpenheuvel
35%
Draws
35%
UNDEBA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scherpenheuvel come out ahead of UNDEBA on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Promé Divishon form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Scherpenheuvel Clean Sheet 16%
UNDEBA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scherpenheuvel UNDEBA
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2024 Promé Divishon
Scherpenheuvel vs UNDEBA
0:0
Dec 3, 2023 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Scherpenheuvel
1:1
Aug 7, 2022 Promé Divishon
Scherpenheuvel vs UNDEBA
4:1
Jun 21, 2022 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Scherpenheuvel
1:3
Oct 17, 2021 Promé Divishon
Scherpenheuvel vs UNDEBA
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scherpenheuvel 30 / 100
UNDEBA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scherpenheuvel UNDEBA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scherpenheuvel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scherpenheuvel found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

UNDEBA let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Scherpenheuvel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scherpenheuvel VS UNDEBA
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Scherpenheuvel

(Home)
24 Feb
Centro Dominguito
1 : 1
Scherpenheuvel
17 Feb
Scherpenheuvel
2 : 3
SUBT
21 Jan
Scherpenheuvel
1 : 1
Jong Colombia
13 Jan
CSD Barber
0 : 3
Scherpenheuvel
17 Dec
Scherpenheuvel
2 : 2
Victory Boys
Page 1 of 6

UNDEBA

(Away)
17 Feb
Jong Colombia
3 : 0
UNDEBA
20 Jan
CSD Barber
3 : 4
UNDEBA
14 Jan
UNDEBA
4 : 2
Salina
16 Dec
Centro Dominguito
2 : 2
UNDEBA
10 Dec
UNDEBA
2 : 3
SUBT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)