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Schifflange vs Kaerjeng

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Albanese I.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2023/2024 game between Schifflange and Kaerjeng finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaerjeng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Schifflange
15%
Draws
57%
Kaerjeng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Schifflange haven't matched Kaerjeng's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kaerjeng a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kaerjeng have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Schifflange Clean Sheet 20%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schifflange Kaerjeng
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.27 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 BGL Ligue
Schifflange vs Kaerjeng
0:1
Nov 8, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Kaerjeng vs Schifflange
2:3
Sep 27, 2023 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Schifflange
1:0
Feb 26, 2010 Luxembourg Cup
Schifflange vs Kaerjeng
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schifflange Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Kaerjeng Compare

Top Goalscorer Albanese I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schifflange 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schifflange Kaerjeng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schifflange's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kaerjeng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Schifflange has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaerjeng
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Schifflange

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
3 : 2
Schifflange
10 Nov
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
1 : 0
Schifflange
06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3
Schifflange
26 May
Union Titus Petange
1 : 3
Schifflange
18 May
Schifflange
1 : 4
Hesperange
Page 1 of 6

Kaerjeng

(Away)
20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9
Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Differdange 30 19 9 2 70:23 66
2 Hesperange 30 18 7 5 66:35 61
3 Dudelange 30 19 4 7 59:36 61
4 Progres Niedercorn 30 16 7 7 54:35 55
5 Jeunesse Esch 30 13 6 11 51:41 45
6 UNA Strassen 30 11 11 8 40:38 44
7 Victoria Rosport 30 12 8 10 45:44 44
8 Union Titus Petange 30 11 6 13 48:47 39
9 Mondorf 30 10 8 12 55:53 38
10 Racing Luxembourg 30 11 5 14 46:58 38
11 Wiltz 30 7 12 11 43:52 33
12 Mondercange 30 8 8 14 33:57 32
13 Kaerjeng 30 7 7 16 31:49 28
14 Fola 30 8 4 18 33:61 28
15 FC Marisca Mersch 30 7 5 18 40:62 26
16 Schifflange 30 6 7 17 36:59 25
Promotion - Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2023/2024 (Relegation)