Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schonberg vs Jena

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Weggen K.
70' Event
Haufe H.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Thiele T.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 game between Schonberg and Jena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schonberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Schonberg
15%
Draws
46%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Schonberg haven't matched Jena's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Jena taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Schonberg Clean Sheet 10%
Jena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schonberg Jena
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.48 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
Schonberg vs Jena
2:1
Nov 27, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Schonberg
2:0
Feb 6, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
Schonberg vs Jena
1:0
Aug 5, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Schonberg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schonberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Weggen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiele T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.43
Avg xA / game 1.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schonberg 10 / 100
Jena 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schonberg Jena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schonberg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Jena let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Schonberg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jena
0 Goals Scored 4.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Schonberg

(Home)
07 Jul
Schonberg
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
28 Jun
Schonberg
0 : 13
Holstein Kiel
20 May
Schonberg
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 May
Furstenwalde
5 : 3
Schonberg
07 May
Schonberg
2 : 1
Jena
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Jena

(Away)
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
23 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Darmstadt
14 Aug
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 1
Jena
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Erfurt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)