Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schoningen vs Phonix Lubeck

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Beck C.
11' Event
Degirmenci M.
41' Event
Harant P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North 2025/2026 game between Schoningen and Phonix Lubeck finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phonix Lubeck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Schoningen
35%
Draws
27%
Phonix Lubeck
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Schoningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Phonix Lubeck carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Schoningen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Schoningen Clean Sheet 19%
Phonix Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schoningen Phonix Lubeck
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga North
Schoningen vs Phonix Lubeck
3:5
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs Schoningen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schoningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Beck C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanogo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Phonix Lubeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Degirmenci M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stover J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schoningen 40 / 100
Phonix Lubeck 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schoningen Phonix Lubeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schoningen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Schoningen scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Schoningen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Phonix Lubeck let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Schoningen VS Phonix Lubeck
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Schoningen

(Home)
30 Aug
Bremer
2 : 2
Schoningen
26 Aug
Schoningen
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
16 Aug
Schoningen
2 : 0
Todesfelde
12 Aug
Eimsbutteler
1 : 2
Schoningen
09 Aug
Schoningen
1 : 1
Eintracht Norderstedt
Page 1 of 6

Phonix Lubeck

(Away)
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
15 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
4 : 0
Lubeck
12 Aug
Bremer
0 : 0
Phonix Lubeck
09 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 0
Jeddeloh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meppen 34 26 5 3 103:35 83
2 Drochtersen / Assel 34 22 4 8 83:48 70
3 VfB Oldenburg 34 21 6 7 87:45 69
4 Jeddeloh 34 19 7 8 81:50 64
5 Phonix Lubeck 34 16 8 10 53:43 56
6 Hannover II 34 16 5 13 63:49 53
7 Bremer 34 14 10 10 52:41 52
8 Emden 34 14 9 11 64:54 51
9 Weiche Flensburg 08 34 14 7 13 69:63 49
10 Hamburger II 34 13 8 13 57:50 47
11 Lubeck 34 12 9 13 54:61 45
12 Werder Bremen II 34 10 10 14 57:71 40
13 Hannoverscher SC 34 10 7 17 49:84 37
14 Schoningen 34 10 4 20 56:84 34
15 Eintracht Norderstedt 34 7 9 18 51:79 30
16 St. Pauli II 34 4 13 17 38:72 25
17 Lohne 34 5 8 21 38:78 23
18 Altona 34 6 5 23 44:92 23
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)