Sport Picks
Schoningen vs St. Pauli II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga North 
Match Events
5'
5'
Wardius J.
24'
24'
Wardius J.
45'
45'
Arnold L.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga North game between Schoningen and St. Pauli II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schoningen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Pauli II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Schoningen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans St. Pauli II's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Regionalliga North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Schoningen have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Schoningen Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Schoningen | St. Pauli II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Regionalliga North
Schoningen vs St. Pauli II
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Schoningen
0:5
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga North
Schoningen vs St. Pauli II
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Schoningen Compare
Top Goalscorer Arnold L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Joppich H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
St. Pauli II Compare
Top Goalscorer Wardius J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Schoningen 22 / 100
St. Pauli II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Schoningen St. Pauli II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Schoningen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).
St. Pauli II let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
St. Pauli II lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Schoningen VS St. Pauli II
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Schoningen
(Home) 31 Oct
Schoningen
0 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
17 Oct
Hannover II
4 : 2 Schoningen
10 Oct
Schoningen
1 : 3 Hamburger II
04 Oct
Hannoverscher SC
2 : 0 Schoningen
25 Sept
Schoningen
3 : 3 Drochtersen / Assel
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Schoningen
0 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
10 Oct
Schoningen
1 : 3 Hamburger II
25 Sept
Schoningen
3 : 3 Drochtersen / Assel
16 Sept
Schoningen
2 : 1 Weiche Flensburg 08
06 Sept
Schoningen
1 : 0 VfB Oldenburg
Page 1 of 3
St. Pauli II
(Away) 01 Nov
St. Pauli II
1 : 1 Eimsbutteler
25 Oct
St. Pauli II
3 : 0 Weiche Flensburg 08
17 Oct
Lubeck
4 : 1 St. Pauli II
11 Oct
St. Pauli II
3 : 4 Hannoverscher SC
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2 Emden
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Lubeck
4 : 1 St. Pauli II
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0 St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 St. Pauli II
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2 St. Pauli II
26 Aug
Schoningen
3 : 2 St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg 08 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 44:18 | 35 |
| 2 | Hannover II | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38:25 | 33 |
| 3 | Drochtersen / Assel | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 49:23 | 32 |
| 4 | VfB Oldenburg | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 42:20 | 32 |
| 5 | Phonix Lubeck | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 41:14 | 31 |
| 6 | Schoningen | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:27 | 24 |
| 7 | Delmenhorst | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Emden | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 37:42 | 20 |
| 9 | Hamburger II | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 28:35 | 19 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen II | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27:31 | 18 |
| 11 | Lubeck | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 22:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Hannoverscher SC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 24:33 | 18 |
| 13 | Eimsbutteler | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:37 | 16 |
| 14 | Jeddeloh | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23:37 | 15 |
| 15 | Todesfelde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 27:50 | 15 |
| 16 | St. Pauli II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 28:30 | 14 |
| 17 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 29:39 | 13 |
| 18 | Bremer | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13:27 | 12 |
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)
