Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schoningen vs St. Pauli II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wardius J.
24' Event
Wardius J.
45' Event
Arnold L.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North game between Schoningen and St. Pauli II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schoningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Schoningen
20%
Draws
28%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Schoningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Schoningen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Regionalliga North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Schoningen have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Schoningen Clean Sheet 16%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schoningen St. Pauli II
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Regionalliga North
Schoningen vs St. Pauli II
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Schoningen
0:5
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga North
Schoningen vs St. Pauli II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schoningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnold L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joppich H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wardius J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schoningen 36 / 100
St. Pauli II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schoningen St. Pauli II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schoningen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

St. Pauli II let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Schoningen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schoningen VS St. Pauli II
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schoningen

(Home)
16 Sept
Schoningen
2 : 1
Weiche Flensburg 08
12 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 1
Schoningen
06 Sept
Schoningen
1 : 0
VfB Oldenburg
30 Aug
Bremer
2 : 2
Schoningen
26 Aug
Schoningen
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
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St. Pauli II

(Away)
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
26 Aug
Schoningen
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schoningen 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
2 VfB Oldenburg 9 7 1 1 30:11 22
3 Weiche Flensburg 08 9 7 1 1 29:10 22
4 Phonix Lubeck 9 6 2 1 26:5 20
5 Drochtersen / Assel 9 6 0 3 29:13 18
6 Hannover II 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
7 Emden 9 3 3 3 24:30 12
8 Delmenhorst 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
9 St. Pauli II 9 3 1 5 20:18 10
10 Eintracht Norderstedt 9 2 4 3 17:22 10
11 Hannoverscher SC 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
12 Eimsbutteler 9 3 0 6 18:31 9
13 Werder Bremen II 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
14 Bremer 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
15 Todesfelde 9 2 2 5 16:31 8
16 Jeddeloh 9 2 1 6 13:20 7
17 Hamburger II 9 2 1 6 11:22 7
18 Lubeck 9 0 5 4 9:18 5
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)