Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schott Mainz vs FC 08 Homburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
El Helwe H.
39'
Roden J.
41' Event
El Helwe H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Schott Mainz and FC 08 Homburg finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC 08 Homburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Schott Mainz
44%
Draws
20%
FC 08 Homburg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC 08 Homburg come out ahead of Schott Mainz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC 08 Homburg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Schott Mainz Clean Sheet 10%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schott Mainz FC 08 Homburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs FC 08 Homburg
0:7
Sep 30, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Schott Mainz
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs FC 08 Homburg
1:2
Aug 29, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Schott Mainz
2:2
Mar 5, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs FC 08 Homburg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schott Mainz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Inanoglu K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Helwe H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schott Mainz 34 / 100
FC 08 Homburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schott Mainz FC 08 Homburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Schott Mainz scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: FC 08 Homburg conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: FC 08 Homburg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Schott Mainz VS FC 08 Homburg
1.17 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Schott Mainz

(Home)
16 May
Eintracht Trier
2 : 0
Schott Mainz
09 May
Schott Mainz
2 : 3
Balingen
02 May
Sandhausen
0 : 1
Schott Mainz
25 Apr
Schott Mainz
3 : 1
Stutt. Kickers
22 Apr
TSV Steinbach Haiger
6 : 0
Schott Mainz
Page 1 of 6

FC 08 Homburg

(Away)
17 Jul
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 0
Pirmasens
14 Jul
Darmstadt
5 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
09 Jul
Wehen
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
08 Jul
Karlsruher II
2 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
04 Jul
FC 08 Homburg
3 : 1
Emmelshausen-Karbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)