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Scorpion Vermelho vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Martins O.
45' Event
Graca J.
45' Event
Martins O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Scorpion Vermelho
20%
Draws
73%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Mindelense have won more games recently than Scorpion Vermelho.
  • Mindelense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Scorpion Vermelho Clean Sheet 10%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scorpion Vermelho Mindelense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.89 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Scorpion Vermelho vs Mindelense
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scorpion Vermelho Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fonseca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mindelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Graca J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neves P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scorpion Vermelho 10 / 100
Mindelense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scorpion Vermelho Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Scorpion Vermelho scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Mindelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scorpion Vermelho went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scorpion Vermelho VS Mindelense
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Scorpion Vermelho

(Home)
13 Jun
Scorpion Vermelho
3 : 3
Onze Unidos
06 Jun
SC Africa Show
2 : 1
Scorpion Vermelho
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
10 May
CD Benfica
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
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Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Sanjoanenses 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Paulense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
6 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
7 Sport Sal-Rei 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 Ultramarina 6 1 2 3 3:9 5
9 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
10 Botafogo 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)