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Scotland vs Belarus

World World

World Championship 2026 Hampden Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scotland play Belarus in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Scotland averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Belarus averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Scotland won 3, Belarus won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Scotland and 1.06 for Belarus. This points to a Scotland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Scotland
40%
Draws
29%
Belarus
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Scotland has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Belarus.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in World Championship 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Scotland Clean Sheet 20%
Belarus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Belarus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Scotland vs Belarus
2:1
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Belarus vs Scotland
0:2
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Scotland vs Belarus
0:1
Jun 8, 2005 World Championship
Belarus vs Scotland
0:0
Sep 6, 1997 World Championship
Scotland vs Belarus
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McTominay S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Belarus Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuchko G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 32 / 100
Belarus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Belarus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Belarus let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scotland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belarus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Belarus
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280