Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland vs Iceland

World World

Friendly International 2025 Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Gunn A. In: Slicker C.
Out: Gunn A.
8' Event
Gudjohnsen A.
Assist: Thordarson S. T.
25' Event
Souttar J.
Assist: Johnston M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Scotland and Iceland finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iceland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Scotland
20%
Draws
15%
Iceland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scotland come out ahead of Iceland on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Scotland taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Scotland have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Iceland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Scotland vs Iceland
1:3
Apr 1, 2009 World Championship
Scotland vs Iceland
2:1
Sep 10, 2008 World Championship
Iceland vs Scotland
1:2
Mar 29, 2003 Euro
Scotland vs Iceland
2:1
Oct 12, 2002 Euro
Iceland vs Scotland
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Souttar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Iceland Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudjohnsen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palsson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 95 / 100
Iceland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Iceland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Iceland has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scotland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Iceland
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

Iceland

(Away)
10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1
Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2
Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0
Iceland
Page 1 of 6