Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland vs North Macedonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scotland host North Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Scotland at 1.35 goals for, 1.29 against; North Macedonia at 0.97 for, 1.47 against. Head-to-head, Scotland have won 3 to North Macedonia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 0.63, favoring Scotland. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Scotland
15%
Draws
0%
North Macedonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scotland come out ahead of North Macedonia on wins alone.
  • Scotland are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Scotland Clean Sheet 20%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland North Macedonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.35 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Scotland
0:2
Sep 10, 2013 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Scotland
1:2
Sep 11, 2012 World Championship
Scotland vs North Macedonia
1:1
Sep 5, 2009 World Championship
Scotland vs North Macedonia
2:0
Sep 6, 2008 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Scotland
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 85 / 100
North Macedonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland North Macedonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scotland scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: North Macedonia conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS North Macedonia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2
Slovenia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
Page 1 of 7

North Macedonia

(Away)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)