Sport Picks

Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026

St. Polten W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 encounter between SCR Altach W and St. Polten W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. SCR Altach W averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. St. Polten W shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for SCR Altach W, 4 wins for St. Polten W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.03.26 ended in a 1:9 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.76 for SCR Altach W and 2.69 for St. Polten W, suggesting the primary value lies in the St. Polten W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

SCR Altach W

20%

Draws

45%

St. Polten W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Polten W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

SCR Altach W picked up more points recently compared to St. Polten W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 2.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

SCR Altach W Clean Sheet 10%

St. Polten W Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SCR Altach W	St. Polten W
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	14	19
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.76	2.34
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

15.03.26 Bundesliga Women

SCR Altach W vs St. Polten W

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:9

26.09.25 Bundesliga Women

St. Polten W vs SCR Altach W

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

17.11.24 Bundesliga Women

St. Polten W vs SCR Altach W

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

25.08.24 Bundesliga Women

SCR Altach W vs St. Polten W

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

19.05.24 Bundesliga Women

SCR Altach W vs St. Polten W

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

SCR Altach W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

St. Polten W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCR Altach W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikulica P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattner-Trembleau S.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Brunold C.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCR Altach W 34 / 100

St. Polten W 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SCR Altach W St. Polten W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Polten W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

SCR Altach W 39%

St. Polten W 36%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

SCR Altach W 33%

St. Polten W 47%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

SCR Altach W 35%

St. Polten W 45%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

SCR Altach W 37%

St. Polten W 43%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

SCR Altach W 32%

St. Polten W 50%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

SCR Altach W 40%

St. Polten W 52%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SCR Altach W attacking → ← attacking St. Polten W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCR Altach W have found the net in 76% of their last 29 matches.

St. Polten W have conceded at least one goal in 59% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.

SCR Altach W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

St. Polten W suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 63

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria Vienna W	18	17	1	0	52:5	52
2	St. Polten W	18	15	1	2	60:10	46
3	Sturm Graz W	18	11	1	6	40:23	34
4	Salzburg W	18	8	4	6	35:34	28
5	SCR Altach W	18	8	4	6	32:34	28
6	First Vienna W	18	7	4	7	32:33	25
7	LASK Linz W	18	6	2	10	18:30	20
8	Neulengbach W	18	3	3	12	13:34	12
9	Union Kleinmunchen W	18	3	0	15	14:45	9
10	FC Sudburgenland W	18	1	2	15	23:71	5