Sport Picks
Scunthorpe vs Harrogate
England
National League Attis Arena, Scunthorpe 
Match Events
5'
5'
Evans W.
14'
14'
McGowan W.
Assist: Cass L.
43'
43'
Rowley J.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Scunthorpe and Harrogate finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harrogate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Harrogate come out ahead of Scunthorpe on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 12%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scunthorpe | Harrogate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Harrogate
0:2
Mar 26, 2022 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Harrogate
0:3
Oct 9, 2021 League Two
Harrogate vs Scunthorpe
6:1
Feb 20, 2021 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Harrogate
3:1
Dec 1, 2020 League Two
Harrogate vs Scunthorpe
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scunthorpe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer McGowan W.
1 Goals Assists Leader McCoulsky S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scunthorpe 30 / 100
Harrogate 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scunthorpe Harrogate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Scunthorpe found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Harrogate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Scunthorpe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scunthorpe VS Harrogate
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Scunthorpe
(Home) 19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
28 Aug
Scunthorpe
3 : 1 Solihull Moors
18 Aug
Scunthorpe
4 : 0 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 3
Harrogate
(Away) 19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
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