Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool

England England

National League 2025/2026 Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Miley J.
43'
Hunter J.
60'
Sub
Beestin A. In: Howe D.
Out: Beestin A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Scunthorpe
20%
Draws
48%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hartlepool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hartlepool lately — more wins on the board than Scunthorpe.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 14%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Hartlepool
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe
2:1
Apr 30, 2022 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 League Two
Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 30 / 100
Hartlepool 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hartlepool's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Scunthorpe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Hartlepool
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1
Chesterfield
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6
Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2
Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3
Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2
Hartlepool
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 York City 46 33 9 4 114:41 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 88:41 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 87:51 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 95:58 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 77:62 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 83:47 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 82:52 81
8 Halifax 46 20 10 16 69:66 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 54:59 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 69:54 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 63:71 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 63:67 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 55:65 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 71:72 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 67:74 56
16 Yeovil 46 15 6 25 48:68 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 57:80 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 54:90 50
19 Sutton 46 11 14 21 59:79 47
20 Aldershot 46 13 7 26 69:87 46
21 Brackley 46 10 12 24 40:75 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 66:103 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 38:76 36
24 Truro 46 8 10 28 42:72 34
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