Sport Picks
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool
England
National League Attis Arena, Scunthorpe 
Match Events
27'
27'
Harris W.
Assist: Deeming C.
30'
30'
Jones P.
Assist: Rowley J.
44'
44'
Sub
Denton T. In: Ogle R.
Out: Denton T.
AI Match Summary
Scunthorpe in this National League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scunthorpe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hartlepool lately — more wins on the board than Scunthorpe.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Scunthorpe taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scunthorpe | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe
2:1
Apr 30, 2022 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Norwood J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer Harris W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scunthorpe 67 / 100
Hartlepool 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scunthorpe Hartlepool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Scunthorpe scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Hartlepool has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Hartlepool lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scunthorpe VS Hartlepool
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Scunthorpe
(Home) 19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
28 Aug
Scunthorpe
3 : 1 Solihull Moors
18 Aug
Scunthorpe
4 : 0 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 3
Hartlepool
(Away) 19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0 Hartlepool
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Woking
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0 Hartlepool
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0 Hartlepool
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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