Sport Picks
Scunthorpe vs Leeds U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 Attis Arena, Scunthorpe 
Match Events
33'
33'
Gray H.
Assist: Chadwick-Chaplin R.
34'
34'
Sub
Denton T. In: Gjoshe J.
Out: Denton T.
46'
46'
Sub
Chadwick-Chaplin R. In: Vincent H.
Out: Chadwick-Chaplin R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Leeds U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Scunthorpe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Scunthorpe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 14%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scunthorpe | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Leeds U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Ubaezuonu C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gray H.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scunthorpe 30 / 100
Leeds U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scunthorpe Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leeds U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Scunthorpe scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Scunthorpe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scunthorpe VS Leeds U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Scunthorpe
(Home) 16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
28 Aug
Scunthorpe
3 : 1 Solihull Moors
18 Aug
Scunthorpe
4 : 0 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 3
Leeds U21
(Away) 13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3 Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0 Leeds U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3 West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3 Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0 Leeds U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
