Sport Picks
Scunthorpe vs Leeds U21
England
National League Cup Attis Arena, Scunthorpe 
Match Events
33'
33'
Gray H.
Assist: Chadwick-Chaplin R.
34'
34'
Sub
Denton T. In: Gjoshe J.
Out: Denton T.
46'
46'
Sub
Chadwick-Chaplin R. In: Vincent H.
Out: Chadwick-Chaplin R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Leeds U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Scunthorpe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Scunthorpe a 90% chance of winning this.
- Scunthorpe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 20%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scunthorpe | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.33 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Leeds U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Ubaezuonu C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gray H.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scunthorpe 85 / 100
Leeds U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scunthorpe Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Scunthorpe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Leeds U21 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Scunthorpe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scunthorpe VS Leeds U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Scunthorpe
(Home) 31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6 Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2 Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
28 Apr
Scunthorpe
1 : 0 Southend
25 Apr
Scunthorpe
0 : 1 Eastleigh
11 Apr
Scunthorpe
1 : 0 Brackley
03 Apr
Scunthorpe
0 : 0 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
Leeds U21
(Away) 13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2 Manchester United U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
16 Mar
Leeds U21
1 : 0 Tottenham U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2 Leeds U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
07 Feb
Manchester City U21
3 : 0 Leeds U21
25 Jan
Liverpool U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
