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Scunthorpe vs Nottingham U21

England England

National League Cup Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Tue, Sep 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nottingham U21 have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Scunthorpe have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.9. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.77 vs 1.33, favoring Nottingham U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Scunthorpe
15%
Draws
51%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Scunthorpe are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 18%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Nottingham U21
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 14 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 58 / 100
Nottingham U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Scunthorpe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Nottingham U21's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Nottingham U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2
Scunthorpe
28 Aug
Scunthorpe
3 : 1
Solihull Moors
22 Aug
Eastleigh
3 : 2
Scunthorpe
18 Aug
Scunthorpe
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
15 Aug
Southend
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 7

Nottingham U21

(Away)
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
18 Aug
Gateshead
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Luton U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)