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Scunthorpe vs Nottingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Gale J.
35' Event
Howe D.
Assist: Brennan L.
46'
Sub
Broomes E. In: Sutton S.
Out: Broomes E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Scunthorpe
15%
Draws
51%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Scunthorpe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 11%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Nottingham U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Nottingham U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scunthorpe Compare

Top Goalscorer Howe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brennan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradshaw A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 40 / 100
Nottingham U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Scunthorpe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Nottingham U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2
Derby U21
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
09 Oct
Peterborough U21
1 : 5
Nottingham U21
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)