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SD Deusto vs Alaves C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Issakhi Y.
90' Event
Relloso M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between SD Deusto and Alaves C finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SD Deusto
15%
Draws
51%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Deusto Alaves C
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Alaves C
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs SD Deusto
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs SD Deusto
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Alaves C
3:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs SD Deusto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Deusto Compare

Top Goalscorer Issakhi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Relloso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Deusto 30 / 100
Alaves C 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Deusto Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves C has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Alaves C registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SD Deusto scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Deusto VS Alaves C
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Deusto

(Home)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
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Alaves C

(Away)
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1
Alaves C
26 Apr
Alaves C
2 : 3
Derio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)